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Old 01-14-2003, 07:41 PM   #16
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One boneheaded way of looking at it (sadly, the only way I know how) is this: How many times did he score compared to the number of times he was on base?

If you look at it that way only, Billy Hamilton is Number One with a bullet. Sliding Billy scored 49.2% of the times he was on base. No one else is really close. The other guys who are high up on the list are mainly great number-3 or 4 hitters, like Anson (45.0%), Gehrig (44.2%), Ruth (43.7%) and Mays (43.0%).

Rickey is up there at 43.0%.

Of the top twenty run scorers of all time, Rose is at the bottom of the list, scoring 36.5% of the time he reached base.

Others include Biggio (40.4%), Larkin (39.7%) and Raines (39.5%).

There are too many caveats to count about this simple calculation; but it is ONE indicator of how effective a runner is at scoring.
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Old 01-14-2003, 07:48 PM   #17
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Don't forget Wee Willie Keeler. He was on base 3,742 times and scored 1,719 runs. This puts him at just under 45%, if my pencil and paper calculations are correct.
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Old 01-14-2003, 10:03 PM   #18
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% of times on base scored is a bit bogus since that presupposes efficient hitters hitting behiond you. Some years back, while the "human rain delay" was still an active player, the Indians had a team that produced lots of base runners but very few runs, since no one ever seemed to knock them in.

Also look at how poorly Bonds fared last year in the run scoring department relative to times on base
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Old 01-15-2003, 11:45 AM   #19
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Sliding Billy!
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Old 01-15-2003, 11:59 AM   #20
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Revision:
1. Rickey
2. Tim Raines
3. Billy Hamilton
4. Pete Rose
5. Paul Molitor
6. Willie Keeler
7. Lou Brock
8. Richie Ashburn
9. Craig Biggio
10. Brett Butler

Part of what I am getting at here, is how does Butler fare on this list? I am starting with him tenth.
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Old 01-15-2003, 03:04 PM   #21
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I can buy that list.

So, what we're saying is that, in a very narrow definition of leadoff hitters -- defense irrelevant, 90% of prime spent batting leadoff -- Butler comes in 10th all time.

Interesting. More evidence that Butler is a gray area HOF.
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