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03-20-2004, 10:50 PM
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#16 | |
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forum mom
Join Date: Sep 2001
Location: relocation
Posts: 4,298
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Quote:
Now you will get all of it. 
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NDF who shares good karma! Get a coaster! My cup is not only 1/2 full it is brimming! We don't need no stinking Arods! 
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03-21-2004, 08:12 AM
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#17 | |
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NetShrine Creator & Curator
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: NetShrine WHQ
Posts: 10,070
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Quote:
In BP 2004, they said that four Sox regulars exceeded their 90th percentile PECOTA projections in 2003. But, they too predict Millar to improve in 2004 - 40% chance of it happening, by BP.
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Steve, Forum Admin Hit Grass, Win Salad Man, this is baseball. You gotta stop thinking. Just have fun. - Benny "The Jet" Rodriguez, in The Sandlot I've been going to games since August 8, 1973....and on August 22, 2004, finally, a foul ball came my way. I had to reach for it, and it deflected off the tip of my right index finger. Shoot, if I was only 4 inches taller!  Have you read The Baseball Same Game? |
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03-21-2004, 08:19 AM
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#18 | |
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NetShrine Creator & Curator
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: NetShrine WHQ
Posts: 10,070
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Quote:
The above is probably the 2nd most racial claim that I made for the AL. Any thought on this? Can Milton Bradley, Jody Gerut, Victor Martinez, Jason Davis, Cliff Lee, and CC Sabathia lead the Tribe to a 85 (or so) win season?
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Steve, Forum Admin Hit Grass, Win Salad Man, this is baseball. You gotta stop thinking. Just have fun. - Benny "The Jet" Rodriguez, in The Sandlot I've been going to games since August 8, 1973....and on August 22, 2004, finally, a foul ball came my way. I had to reach for it, and it deflected off the tip of my right index finger. Shoot, if I was only 4 inches taller! Have you read The Baseball Same Game? |
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03-21-2004, 08:40 AM
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#19 | |
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NetShrine All-Century Team
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: NJ
Posts: 14,584
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Quote:
I may be wrong about this, but I don't think that's what it means. I think the 40% chance of improvement refers to the chance of improving on his past 3 year performance, not his most recent year's.
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Lee Creator, Complete Baseball Encyclopedia. It's powerful, yet extremely easy to use. Features extensive sorting and stat display options. The CBE has many features that are not available in online and printed sources. Has 2006 stats and daily update service for 2007. |
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03-21-2004, 08:40 AM
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#20 | |
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NetShrine All-Century Team
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: NJ
Posts: 14,584
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Quote:
No need to bring race into this one. Let's limit ourselves to baseball. Sorry, couldn't resist. I know you meant "radical."
__________________
Lee Creator, Complete Baseball Encyclopedia. It's powerful, yet extremely easy to use. Features extensive sorting and stat display options. The CBE has many features that are not available in online and printed sources. Has 2006 stats and daily update service for 2007. |
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03-21-2004, 09:54 AM
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#21 | |
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Netshrine Cleanup Hitter
Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: The Mountain State
Posts: 8,883
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03-21-2004, 11:27 AM
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#22 | |
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NetShrine Creator & Curator
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: NetShrine WHQ
Posts: 10,070
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Quote:
In the book it's 40% improve - but only 21% collapse - - - they also give him a 14% chance for a breakout year. So, it's more like a 46% chance for decline, no?
__________________
Steve, Forum Admin Hit Grass, Win Salad Man, this is baseball. You gotta stop thinking. Just have fun. - Benny "The Jet" Rodriguez, in The Sandlot I've been going to games since August 8, 1973....and on August 22, 2004, finally, a foul ball came my way. I had to reach for it, and it deflected off the tip of my right index finger. Shoot, if I was only 4 inches taller! Have you read The Baseball Same Game? |
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03-21-2004, 11:28 AM
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#23 | |
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NetShrine Creator & Curator
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: NetShrine WHQ
Posts: 10,070
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Quote:
 Yup - note the placement of the D and C on a keyboard - - - and my fat fingers.
__________________
Steve, Forum Admin Hit Grass, Win Salad Man, this is baseball. You gotta stop thinking. Just have fun. - Benny "The Jet" Rodriguez, in The Sandlot I've been going to games since August 8, 1973....and on August 22, 2004, finally, a foul ball came my way. I had to reach for it, and it deflected off the tip of my right index finger. Shoot, if I was only 4 inches taller! Have you read The Baseball Same Game? |
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03-21-2004, 11:30 AM
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#24 | |
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NetShrine Creator & Curator
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: NetShrine WHQ
Posts: 10,070
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Quote:
You could be right - the book says it's based on "previously established levels of production."
__________________
Steve, Forum Admin Hit Grass, Win Salad Man, this is baseball. You gotta stop thinking. Just have fun. - Benny "The Jet" Rodriguez, in The Sandlot I've been going to games since August 8, 1973....and on August 22, 2004, finally, a foul ball came my way. I had to reach for it, and it deflected off the tip of my right index finger. Shoot, if I was only 4 inches taller! Have you read The Baseball Same Game? |
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03-21-2004, 11:37 AM
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#25 | |
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NetShrine All-Century Team
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: NJ
Posts: 14,584
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Quote:
No. It's still a 60% chance of a decline. The 21% figure would be for a huge decline. Meanwhile, it's a 40% chance of an improvement, with a 14% chance of a big improvement.
__________________
Lee Creator, Complete Baseball Encyclopedia. It's powerful, yet extremely easy to use. Features extensive sorting and stat display options. The CBE has many features that are not available in online and printed sources. Has 2006 stats and daily update service for 2007. |
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03-21-2004, 11:44 AM
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#26 |
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NetShrine Vagabond
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Louisville
Posts: 7,866
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So there's no range for 'stay the same'?
(Hey, I'm just keeping this as off topic as it's already become you Mod-folk).  |
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03-24-2004, 12:06 AM
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#27 | |
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NetShrine MVP
Join Date: May 2003
Location: Wooster, OH
Posts: 160
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Getting back on the subject.
Quote:
Unfortunately, they are not starting out this year very well. Wickman, Ludwick, Gerut, Bradley are already nursing injuries. I'm guessing a major trade of excess OFs for a starting pitcher is coming soon. If Grady Sizemore makes it to the majors before May 10th, he will win the ROY. |
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03-24-2004, 07:12 AM
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#28 |
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NetShrine Creator & Curator
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: NetShrine WHQ
Posts: 10,070
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Agreed on Grady - - the Colon deal was huge for the Tribe.
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Steve, Forum Admin Hit Grass, Win Salad Man, this is baseball. You gotta stop thinking. Just have fun. - Benny "The Jet" Rodriguez, in The Sandlot I've been going to games since August 8, 1973....and on August 22, 2004, finally, a foul ball came my way. I had to reach for it, and it deflected off the tip of my right index finger. Shoot, if I was only 4 inches taller! Have you read The Baseball Same Game? |
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