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Old 10-23-2002, 09:30 PM   #1
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Default Nix-ed Boston-Florida deal

Florida offered Mike Lowell and Kevin Millar to Boston for Shea Hillenbrand and Trot Nixon, but were rejected:
http://espn.go.com/mlb/news/2002/1023/1450096.html

Mike Lowell 816 OPS, 24 HR, 92 RBI, 65 BB, 92 SO
Hillenbrand 789 OPS, 18 HR, 83 RBI, 25 BB, 95 SO

Millar 875 OPS, 16 HR, 57 RBI, 40 BB, 74 SO
Nixon 808 OPS, 24 HR, 94 RBI, 65 BB, 109 SO

The deal would've saved Florida about a million.

If you were Boston, would you have pulled the deal?
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Old 10-23-2002, 09:49 PM   #2
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Only if you dealt Brian Daubach for a guy who played good defense...
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Old 10-23-2002, 09:51 PM   #3
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In a second. Millar would give them a much better option at 1B, and Lowell, while not a great player, is at least better offensively and defensively than Hillenbrand.
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Old 10-23-2002, 10:28 PM   #4
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Oh yeah! Duffman makes that trade!

However - the BoSox may be mesmerized by the shiny things on the key ring (AVG, RBI) and not what wins...
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Old 10-23-2002, 10:34 PM   #5
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Who's going to fill in for Trotman in the OF? I sort of forgot that you needed a 1B and I didn't think that you'd trade for the replacement...
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Old 10-23-2002, 10:56 PM   #6
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I've turned this one over and over and don't know which side I favor, but I think I see why Boston might turn it down.

If I'm Boston, I look at it like this:

Lowell is 28, Millar is 31.

Hillenbrand is 27, Nixon is 28.

Offensively, the Marlins have an edge ... not a huge one, but an edge nonetheless.

Lowell is a solid defensive 3B. Millar is a 1B being used in the OF, with little defensive value.

Hillenbrand is OK at 3B. Nixon is a good RF with the ability to play CF in a pinch.

Lowell makes $3.7M in 03. Millar made $900,000 last season and is eligible for arbitration; Nixon made $2.7M and will go to arbitration. Hillenbrand made $260,000 and is not arby-eligible, so he'll get a small bump ($300,000-$400,000?).

If Boston makes the deal, they get a little older and probably more expensive, plus open a hole in the OF and take away one of their few lefty bats. The Red Sox can find a 1B-DH easier (or a platoon) and cheaper than they can find someone to play RF.
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Old 10-24-2002, 12:16 AM   #7
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No, I don't make that deal if I'm Boston, unless I have a kid ready to play RF. Giving up too much in age and defense. Imagine the ground Damon would have to cover, playing between Ramirez and Millar in the OF?
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Old 10-24-2002, 12:21 AM   #8
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Nothing to gain for Boston by making this particular deal
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Old 10-24-2002, 12:31 AM   #9
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Quote:
Originally posted by sweaver
No, I don't make that deal if I'm Boston, unless I have a kid ready to play RF. Giving up too much in age and defense. Imagine the ground Damon would have to cover, playing between Ramirez and Millar in the OF?


There is no kid close in the OF sweaver. Remember all that ugly business of the Sox possibly buying Brady Clark and other Reds prospects?

Damon would rop from exhaustion sometime in late July. But there's no way Millar would be a regular LF (Manny would presumably move back to RF - [shudder smilie]). Millar would be part-time LF, part-time DH, occaisional 1B.

But I would not have done that deal. If FLA is interested in moving arbitration cases for Hillenbrand and Nixon, I would ask about Penny and Lee. I would gladly create a hole in the lineup for more pitching. There are alternatives who can play 3B on the market (Mueller, Catalanotto, Ventura) and more 'system depth' at 3B than anywhere else (Mr. Youkilis, Tony Blanco, possibly Wilton Veras).

I believe that some BOS-FLA deal will go down in the offseason. I also believe it could be much larger than the deal reported. I heard Mike Port (still, as of this writing the interim-GM) responding to the Hillenbrand-and-Nixon for Millar-and-Lowell deal on radio today. He talked vaguely about 'organizational priorities' and 'addressing the core needs of a playoff team'. But he also said that negotiations were on-going and that he believed that any deal should include pitching as a top priority.

Basically, he asked for Penny. And Penny-Millar-Lee for Nixon-Hillenbrand-Hancock (or another cheap, young arm) would make me a very happy fan.
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Old 10-24-2002, 01:26 AM   #10
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I turn the deal down as there's no obvious benefit to be had.
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Old 10-24-2002, 09:56 AM   #11
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I would say no even though I am not a big Shea Hillebrand fan. The Marlins guys are older, more expensive and not much better than the Red Sox players.
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Old 10-24-2002, 10:13 AM   #12
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Lowell and Millar had a combined RCAA last year of +32 while Nixon and Hillenbrand had +18. Is that differential worth $1.5M to the Sox.
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Old 10-24-2002, 10:15 AM   #13
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Can the Red Sox afford to take on more payroll without getting an obvious upgrade? I don't think this deal makes enough impact to add a million bucks.
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Old 10-24-2002, 11:48 AM   #14
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Quote:
Originally posted by KCBOOMER
Lowell and Millar had a combined RCAA last year of +32 while Nixon and Hillenbrand had +18. Is that differential worth $1.5M to the Sox.



Thank you Boomer!!! You said what I wanted to say but only better. Yes a trade needs to be done with the Sox. Nixon is a rare commodity. The Sox need to get younger and cheaper. While the Marlin deal is not bad it will still keep us in 2nd place. I have a better deal in mind and stated that in another thread using Trot Nixon. So my vote is:



NO!!
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