THR - Green, Yellow, Red

[Max Power]

Will - - I've been checking out the THRs for a while. Anywhere (maybe I missed it?) does it explain what the green, yellow, red means? Or, is it just what we think it means?

[cubfan33]

"Players will be analyzed based on several factors, such as injury history, comparable players, style of play, biomechanics, and inside information from my sources. As yet, we have no good statistics that make for solid projections and since all injury risk happens over a fluid continuum, we’ve developed a “Stoplight” system to give you a quick indicator.

A player with a green light has minimal risk of injury. That player could still be injured in a traumatic manner such as B.J. Surhoff blowing out his knee or Scott Rolen being run over in the post-season, but those injuries are simply unpredictable. A player with a yellow light is one that has some concerns. A yellow light player may have a significant injury history, an injury that recurs, or may be the type of player that is injured frequently, such as a young pitcher. Think that young pitcher on YOUR team isn’t a risk? Think again. Right-handed pitchers under the age of 24 are like flipping a coin - over half will end up on the DL in any given year.

Red light players are those that I feel are likely to spend significant time on the DL or to have an injury that may not put him on the List, but will impact his performance in a way you’d be better off knowing now. To put it mildly, red lighters are living on borrowed time and are not the type of player you want to count on without having a strategy for living without him."

[Max Power]

Originally posted by cubfan33
"Players will be analyzed based on several factors, ........."

Where at http://www.baseballprospectus.com do I find this?

[KCBOOMER]

On the main page any story listed that has THR in the title is such an article. I guess you would have to look in the archive to find any of them after they leave the main page.

[Max Power]

Still don't see it.

[clemente21]

Will, is it possible to find a different (darker) shade of green? It's difficult to tell the green from the yellow. Of course, that could be because I'm green-brown colorblind... :)

[cubfan33]

Working on shades of green already.

The explanation never ran. I wrote it, but we figured it would be easier to just go with a somewhat vague "stoplight" than try to delineate it.

[KCBOOMER]

My mistake, Max. I thought you were wanting to find the THR articles not the GYR explanation.

[Max Power]

Part of the issue with a G/Y/R system is what does each really mean - - - I say this because we use it at work - - - - where I work.

I see yellows as green with issues.
Others see yellows as a minute away from red.
Sometimes, neither of us is right.

I like a one to 10 scale better than three colors - - but, that's just me.

Will - - at the least, I would suggest considering including a link at the BP essays to some text like you posted here. Just a thought..........

[Max Power]

Originally posted by KCBOOMER
My mistake, Max. I thought you were wanting to find the THR articles not the GYR explanation.

I thought I was losing it - which is always possible - :D

[SmedIndy]

I do like green, yellow, red - because yellow leads to major discussion and you, the fantasy player, or whatever you do with this info, need to weigh the plus and the minus.

And by seeing red, you can bid up those players and hope the gullible guy next to you just reads Baseball Digest and Street and Smiths....