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RascalJones
09-29-2005, 11:27 AM
Has anyone noticed the Cardinals had dropped 7 of their last 9?!? And are only 12-13 in September!! :eek:


http://www.deadspin.com/sports/baseball/uh-anybody-else-worried-about-the-cardinals-128114.php
Crash Course
09-29-2005, 12:46 PM
They're not that good.
Jayhawk Bob
09-30-2005, 01:43 PM
They're not that healthy.
nyy26wc
10-01-2005, 01:01 PM
They're not that good.

When you successfully defend your title of best team in baseball, that's pretty good.
mainsr
10-01-2005, 01:35 PM
Have you seen any analysis correlating, say, overall W-L and last-month-of-the-season W-L to postseason success?
nyy26wc
10-01-2005, 01:46 PM
Have you seen any analysis correlating, say, overall W-L and last-month-of-the-season W-L to postseason success?

Hardball Times just had an article about that the other day.
mainsr
10-01-2005, 04:02 PM
Thanks. For the benefit of those who don't converse in differential equations, here is the article:

http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/ten-things-about-momentum-in-the-postseason/

What it says is that teams with a hot hand going into September do not have any particular advantage over teams that don't, all things being equal. In other words, if the Cardinals play the Padres, the Cardinals are likely going to win due to their vastly superior W-L regardless of momentum heading into the playoffs. Doesn't always work that way, but for every 2003 Marlins (September W-L 130 points higher than overall) winning the WS, there are plenty of other examples where the late-season hot hand gets slapped by the full-season hot hand, so to speak.